library(data.table)
library(plotly)Loading required package: ggplot2
Attaching package: 'plotly'The following object is masked from 'package:ggplot2':
last_plotThe following object is masked from 'package:stats':
filterThe following object is masked from 'package:graphics':
layout# covid_data <- data.table:fread("https://raw.githubusercontent.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/master/us-states.csv")
#
# pop_data <- data.table:fread("https://raw.githubusercontent.com/COVID19Tracking/associated-data/master/us_census_data/us_census_2018_population_estimates_states.csv")
#
# #merge the datasets
# merged <- merge(covid_data, pop_data, by.x = "state", by.y = "location")# load COVID state-level data from NYT
cv_states <- as.data.frame(read.csv("https://raw.githubusercontent.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/master/us-states.csv"))
# load state population data
state_pops <- as.data.frame(read.csv("https://raw.githubusercontent.com/COVID19Tracking/associated-data/master/us_census_data/us_census_2018_population_estimates_states.csv"))
state_pops$abb <- state_pops$state
state_pops$state <- state_pops$state_name
state_pops$state_name <- NULL
### FINISH THE CODE HERE
cv_states <- merge(cv_states, state_pops, by = "state")dim(cv_states)[1] 58094 9head(cv_states) state date fips cases deaths geo_id population pop_density abb
1 Alabama 2023-01-04 1 1587224 21263 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
2 Alabama 2020-04-25 1 6213 213 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
3 Alabama 2023-02-26 1 1638348 21400 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
4 Alabama 2022-12-03 1 1549285 21129 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
5 Alabama 2020-05-06 1 8691 343 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
6 Alabama 2021-04-21 1 524367 10807 1 4887871 96.50939 ALtail(cv_states) state date fips cases deaths geo_id population pop_density abb
58089 Wyoming 2022-09-11 56 175290 1884 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58090 Wyoming 2022-08-21 56 173487 1871 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58091 Wyoming 2021-01-26 56 51152 596 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58092 Wyoming 2021-02-21 56 53795 662 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58093 Wyoming 2021-08-22 56 70671 809 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58094 Wyoming 2021-03-20 56 55581 693 56 577737 5.950611 WYstr(cv_states)'data.frame': 58094 obs. of 9 variables:
$ state : chr "Alabama" "Alabama" "Alabama" "Alabama" ...
$ date : chr "2023-01-04" "2020-04-25" "2023-02-26" "2022-12-03" ...
$ fips : int 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ cases : int 1587224 6213 1638348 1549285 8691 524367 1321892 1088370 1153149 814025 ...
$ deaths : int 21263 213 21400 21129 343 10807 19676 16756 16826 15179 ...
$ geo_id : int 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ population : int 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 ...
$ pop_density: num 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 ...
$ abb : chr "AL" "AL" "AL" "AL" ...# format the date
cv_states$date <- as.Date(cv_states$date, format="%Y-%m-%d")
# format the state and state abbreviation (abb) variables
state_list <- unique(cv_states$state)
cv_states$state <- factor(cv_states$state, levels = state_list)
abb_list <- unique(cv_states$abb)
cv_states$abb <- factor(cv_states$abb, levels = abb_list)
### FINISH THE CODE HERE
# order the data first by state, second by date
cv_states = cv_states[order(cv_states$state, cv_states$date),]
# Confirm the variables are now correctly formatted
str(cv_states)'data.frame': 58094 obs. of 9 variables:
$ state : Factor w/ 52 levels "Alabama","Alaska",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ date : Date, format: "2020-03-13" "2020-03-14" ...
$ fips : int 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ cases : int 6 12 23 29 39 51 78 106 131 157 ...
$ deaths : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
$ geo_id : int 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ population : int 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 4887871 ...
$ pop_density: num 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 ...
$ abb : Factor w/ 52 levels "AL","AK","AZ",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...head(cv_states) state date fips cases deaths geo_id population pop_density abb
1029 Alabama 2020-03-13 1 6 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
597 Alabama 2020-03-14 1 12 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
282 Alabama 2020-03-15 1 23 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
12 Alabama 2020-03-16 1 29 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
266 Alabama 2020-03-17 1 39 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
78 Alabama 2020-03-18 1 51 0 1 4887871 96.50939 ALtail(cv_states) state date fips cases deaths geo_id population pop_density abb
57902 Wyoming 2023-03-18 56 185640 2009 56 577737 5.950611 WY
57916 Wyoming 2023-03-19 56 185640 2009 56 577737 5.950611 WY
57647 Wyoming 2023-03-20 56 185640 2009 56 577737 5.950611 WY
57867 Wyoming 2023-03-21 56 185800 2014 56 577737 5.950611 WY
58057 Wyoming 2023-03-22 56 185800 2014 56 577737 5.950611 WY
57812 Wyoming 2023-03-23 56 185800 2014 56 577737 5.950611 WY# Inspect the range values for each variable. What is the date range? The range of cases and deaths?
head(cv_states) state date fips cases deaths geo_id population pop_density abb
1029 Alabama 2020-03-13 1 6 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
597 Alabama 2020-03-14 1 12 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
282 Alabama 2020-03-15 1 23 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
12 Alabama 2020-03-16 1 29 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
266 Alabama 2020-03-17 1 39 0 1 4887871 96.50939 AL
78 Alabama 2020-03-18 1 51 0 1 4887871 96.50939 ALsummary(cv_states) state date fips cases
Washington : 1158 Min. :2020-01-21 Min. : 1.00 Min. : 1
Illinois : 1155 1st Qu.:2020-12-06 1st Qu.:16.00 1st Qu.: 112125
California : 1154 Median :2021-09-11 Median :29.00 Median : 418120
Arizona : 1153 Mean :2021-09-10 Mean :29.78 Mean : 947941
Massachusetts: 1147 3rd Qu.:2022-06-17 3rd Qu.:44.00 3rd Qu.: 1134318
Wisconsin : 1143 Max. :2023-03-23 Max. :72.00 Max. :12169158
(Other) :51184
deaths geo_id population pop_density
Min. : 0 Min. : 1.00 Min. : 577737 Min. : 1.292
1st Qu.: 1598 1st Qu.:16.00 1st Qu.: 1805832 1st Qu.: 43.659
Median : 5901 Median :29.00 Median : 4468402 Median : 107.860
Mean : 12553 Mean :29.78 Mean : 6397965 Mean : 423.031
3rd Qu.: 15952 3rd Qu.:44.00 3rd Qu.: 7535591 3rd Qu.: 229.511
Max. :104277 Max. :72.00 Max. :39557045 Max. :11490.120
NA's :1106
abb
WA : 1158
IL : 1155
CA : 1154
AZ : 1153
MA : 1147
WI : 1143
(Other):51184 min(cv_states$date)[1] "2020-01-21"max(cv_states$date)[1] "2023-03-23"The date range is from 2020-01-21 to 2023-03-23. The range of cases is from 1 to 12169158, and the range of deaths is from 0 ro 104277.
# Add variables for new_cases and new_deaths:
for (i in 1:length(state_list)) {
cv_subset = subset(cv_states, state == state_list[i])
cv_subset = cv_subset[order(cv_subset$date),]
# add starting level for new cases and deaths
cv_subset$new_cases = cv_subset$cases[1]
cv_subset$new_deaths = cv_subset$deaths[1]
### FINISH THE CODE HERE
for (j in 2:nrow(cv_subset)) {
cv_subset$new_cases[j] = cv_subset$cases[j] - cv_subset$cases[j - 1]
cv_subset$new_deaths[j] = cv_subset$deaths[j] - cv_subset$deaths[j - 1]
}
# include in main dataset
cv_states$new_cases[cv_states$state==state_list[i]] = cv_subset$new_cases
cv_states$new_deaths[cv_states$state==state_list[i]] = cv_subset$new_deaths
}
# Focus on recent dates
cv_states <- cv_states %>% dplyr::filter(date >= "2021-06-01")### FINISH THE CODE HERE
# Inspect outliers in new_cases using plotly
p1<-ggplot(cv_states, aes(x = date, y = new_cases, color = state)) + geom_boxplot() + geom_point(size = .5, alpha = 0.5)
ggplotly(p1)p1<-NULL # to clear from workspace
p2<-ggplot(cv_states, aes(x = date, y = new_deaths, color = state)) + geom_boxplot() + geom_point(size = .5, alpha = 0.5)
ggplotly(p2)p2<-NULL # to clear from workspace# set negative new case or death counts to 0
cv_states$new_cases[cv_states$new_cases<0] = 0
cv_states$new_deaths[cv_states$new_deaths<0] = 0
# Recalculate `cases` and `deaths` as cumulative sum of updated `new_cases` and `new_deaths`
for (i in 1:length(state_list)) {
cv_subset = subset(cv_states, state == state_list[i])
# add starting level for new cases and deaths
cv_subset$cases = cv_subset$cases[1]
cv_subset$deaths = cv_subset$deaths[1]
### FINISH CODE HERE
for (j in 2:nrow(cv_subset)) {
cv_subset$cases[j] = cv_subset$new_cases[j] + cv_subset$new_cases[j-1]
cv_subset$deaths[j] = cv_subset$new_deaths[j] + cv_subset$new_deaths[j-1]
}
# include in main dataset
cv_states$cases[cv_states$state==state_list[i]] = cv_subset$cases
cv_states$deaths[cv_states$state==state_list[i]] = cv_subset$deaths
}
# Smooth new counts
cv_states$new_cases = zoo::rollmean(cv_states$new_cases, k=7, fill=NA, align='right') %>% round(digits = 0)
cv_states$new_deaths = zoo::rollmean(cv_states$new_deaths, k=7, fill=NA, align='right') %>% round(digits = 0)# Inspect data again interactively
p2<-ggplot(cv_states, aes(x = date, y = new_deaths, color = state)) + geom_boxplot() + geom_point(size = .5, alpha = 0.5)
ggplotly(p2)Warning: Removed 6 rows containing non-finite values (`stat_boxplot()`).#p2=NULL### FINISH CODE HERE
# add population normalized (by 100,000) counts for each variable
cv_states$per100k = as.numeric(format(round(cv_states$cases/(cv_states$population/100000),1),nsmall=1))
cv_states$newper100k = as.numeric(format(round(cv_states$new_cases/(cv_states$population/100000),1),nsmall=1))Warning: NAs introduced by coercioncv_states$deathsper100k = as.numeric(format(round(cv_states$deaths/(cv_states$population/100000),1),nsmall=1))
cv_states$newdeathsper100k = as.numeric(format(round(cv_states$new_deaths/(cv_states$population/100000),1),nsmall=1))Warning: NAs introduced by coercion# add a naive_CFR variable = deaths / cases
cv_states = cv_states %>% mutate(naive_CFR = round((deaths*100/cases),2))
# create a `cv_states_today` variable
cv_states_today = subset(cv_states, date==max(cv_states$date))### FINISH CODE HERE
# pop_density vs. cases
cv_states_today %>%
plot_ly(x = ~pop_density, y = ~cases,
type = 'scatter', mode = 'markers', color = ~state,
size = ~population, sizes = c(5, 70), marker = list(sizemode='diameter', opacity=0.5))Warning: Ignoring 1 observationsWarning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors
Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors# filter out "District of Columbia"
cv_states_today_filter <- cv_states_today %>% filter(state!="District of Columbia")
# pop_density vs. cases after filtering
cv_states_today_filter %>%
plot_ly(x = ~pop_density, y = ~cases,
type = 'scatter', mode = 'markers', color = ~state,
size = ~population, sizes = c(5, 70), marker = list(sizemode='diameter', opacity=0.5))Warning: Ignoring 1 observationsWarning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors
Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors# pop_density vs. deathsper100k
cv_states_today_filter %>%
plot_ly(x = ~pop_density, y = ~deathsper100k,
type = 'scatter', mode = 'markers', color = ~state,
size = ~population, sizes = c(5, 70), marker = list(sizemode='diameter', opacity=0.5))Warning: Ignoring 1 observationsWarning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors
Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors# Adding hoverinfo
cv_states_today_filter %>%
plot_ly(x = ~pop_density, y = ~deathsper100k,
type = 'scatter', mode = 'markers', color = ~state,
size = ~population, sizes = c(5, 70), marker = list(sizemode='diameter', opacity=0.5),
hoverinfo = 'text',
text = ~paste( paste(state, ":", sep=""), paste(" Cases per 100k: ", per100k, sep="") ,
paste(" Deaths per 100k: ", deathsper100k, sep=""), sep = "<br>")) %>%
layout(title = "Population-normalized COVID-19 deaths (per 100k) vs. population density for US states",
yaxis = list(title = "Deaths per 100k"), xaxis = list(title = "Population Density"),
hovermode = "compare")Warning: Ignoring 1 observationsWarning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors
Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors# # pop_density vs. deathsper100k
# cv_states_today_filter %>%
# plot_ly(x = ~pop_density, y = ~deathsper100k,
# type = 'scatter', mode = 'markers', color = ~state,
# size = ~population, sizes = c(5, 70), marker = list(sizemode='diameter', opacity=0.5))
### FINISH CODE HERE
p <- ggplot(cv_states_today_filter, aes(x=pop_density, y=deathsper100k, size=population, color = state)) + geom_point() + geom_smooth(method = "lm", se = FALSE) +
labs(title = "Population-normalized COVID-19 deaths (per 100k) vs. population density for US states", x = "Population Density", y = "Deaths per 100k") +
scale_size_continuous(name = "Population")
ggplotly(p)`geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'Warning: Removed 1 rows containing non-finite values (`stat_smooth()`).I think the population density does not appear to be a correlate of new deaths per 100k, as there is not clear trend between population density and deaths, not to mention larger sizes of each point does not correlate with greater deaths.
### FINISH CODE HERE
# Line chart for naive_CFR for all states over time using `plot_ly()`
# add a naive_CFR variable = deaths / cases
# cv_states = cv_states %>% mutate(naive_CFR = round((deaths*100/cases),2))
plot_ly(cv_states, x = ~date, y = ~naive_CFR, color = ~state, type = "scatter", mode = "lines")Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colors
Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): n too large, allowed maximum for palette Set2 is 8
Returning the palette you asked for with that many colorsA bit confusing to interpret this graph, as November 11, 2022 has an extreme value for naive CFR - this means that there was a huge amount of deaths compared to cases (which doesn’t match the other data?). I am unclear on why this is the case.
### FINISH CODE HERE
# Line chart for Florida showing new_cases and new_deaths together
# add.layer() not found?
cv_states %>% filter(state=="Florida") %>% plot_ly(x = ~date, y = ~new_cases, type = "scatter", mode = "lines") %>% add_trace(x = ~date, y = ~new_deaths, type = "scatter", mode = "lines") The peak of cases was January 10, 2022 (84669), with a smaller peak in August 16, 2021 (29711). It is hard to identify the exact peak of deaths, but after zooming in, can be identified as September 20, 2021 (445). There was a delay of around 1 month from August to September, though mildly surprising that the peak of deaths (September 2021) occurred prior to the highest spike in cases (January 2022).
### FINISH CODE HERE
# Map state, date, and new_cases to a matrix
library(tidyr)
cv_states_mat <- cv_states %>% select(state, date, new_cases) %>% dplyr::filter(date>as.Date("2021-06-15"))
cv_states_mat2 <- as.data.frame(pivot_wider(cv_states_mat, names_from = state, values_from = new_cases))
rownames(cv_states_mat2) <- cv_states_mat2$date
cv_states_mat2$date <- NULL
cv_states_mat2 <- as.matrix(cv_states_mat2)
# Create a heatmap using plot_ly()
plot_ly(x=colnames(cv_states_mat2), y=rownames(cv_states_mat2),
z=~cv_states_mat2,
type="heatmap",
showscale=T)California, New York, and Texas stand out.
# Repeat with newper100k
cv_states_mat <- cv_states %>% select(state, date, newper100k) %>% dplyr::filter(date>as.Date("2021-06-15"))
cv_states_mat2 <- as.data.frame(pivot_wider(cv_states_mat, names_from = state, values_from = newper100k))
rownames(cv_states_mat2) <- cv_states_mat2$date
cv_states_mat2$date <- NULL
cv_states_mat2 <- as.matrix(cv_states_mat2)
plot_ly(x=colnames(cv_states_mat2), y=rownames(cv_states_mat2),
z=~cv_states_mat2,
type="heatmap",
showscale=T)When examining newper100k, most states have a noticeable band around January 2022, but Rhode Island stands out the most.
# Create a second heatmap after filtering to only include dates every other week
filter_dates <- seq(as.Date("2021-06-15"), as.Date("2021-11-01"), by="2 weeks")
cv_states_mat <- cv_states %>% select(state, date, newper100k) %>% filter(date %in% filter_dates)
cv_states_mat2 <- as.data.frame(pivot_wider(cv_states_mat, names_from = state, values_from = newper100k))
rownames(cv_states_mat2) <- cv_states_mat2$date
cv_states_mat2$date <- NULL
cv_states_mat2 <- as.matrix(cv_states_mat2)
# Create a heatmap using plot_ly()
plot_ly(x=colnames(cv_states_mat2), y=rownames(cv_states_mat2),
z=~cv_states_mat2,
type="heatmap",
showscale=T)### For specified date
pick.date = "2021-10-15"
# Extract the data for each state by its abbreviation
cv_per100 <- cv_states %>% filter(date==pick.date) %>% select(state, abb, newper100k, cases, deaths) # select data
cv_per100$state_name <- cv_per100$state
cv_per100$state <- cv_per100$abb
cv_per100$abb <- NULL
# Create hover text
cv_per100$hover <- with(cv_per100, paste(state_name, '<br>', "Cases per 100k: ", newper100k, '<br>', "Cases: ", cases, '<br>', "Deaths: ", deaths))
# Set up mapping details
set_map_details <- list(
scope = 'usa',
projection = list(type = 'albers usa'),
showlakes = TRUE,
lakecolor = toRGB('white')
)
# Make sure both maps are on the same color scale
shadeLimit <- 125# Create the map
fig <- plot_geo(cv_per100, locationmode = 'USA-states') %>%
add_trace(
z = ~newper100k, text = ~hover, locations = ~state,
color = ~newper100k, colors = 'Purples'
)
fig <- fig %>% colorbar(title = paste0("Cases per 100k: ", pick.date), limits = c(0,shadeLimit))
fig <- fig %>% layout(
title = paste('Cases per 100k by State as of ', pick.date, '<br>(Hover for value)'),
geo = set_map_details
)
fig_pick.date <- fig#############
### Map for today's date
# Extract the data for each state by its abbreviation
cv_per100 <- cv_states_today %>% select(state, abb, newper100k, cases, deaths) # select data
cv_per100$state_name <- cv_per100$state
cv_per100$state <- cv_per100$abb
cv_per100$abb <- NULL
# Create hover text
cv_per100$hover <- with(cv_per100, paste(state_name, '<br>', "Cases per 100k: ", newper100k, '<br>', "Cases: ", cases, '<br>', "Deaths: ", deaths))
# Set up mapping details
set_map_details <- list(
scope = 'usa',
projection = list(type = 'albers usa'),
showlakes = TRUE,
lakecolor = toRGB('white')
)
# Create the map
fig <- plot_geo(cv_per100, locationmode = 'USA-states') %>%
add_trace(
z = ~newper100k, text = ~hover, locations = ~state,
color = ~newper100k, colors = 'Purples'
)
fig <- fig %>% colorbar(title = paste0("Cases per 100k: ", Sys.Date()), limits = c(0,shadeLimit))
fig <- fig %>% layout(
title = paste('Cases per 100k by State as of', Sys.Date(), '<br>(Hover for value)'),
geo = set_map_details
)
fig_Today <- fig
### Plot together
subplot(fig_pick.date, fig_Today, nrows = 2, margin = .05)Naive_CFR is clearly higher on October 15, 2021 with darker shades of purple across numerous states (thereby greater number of deaths/cases), compared to the most recent date with much lighter shades of purple (thereby fewer deaths/cases).